Bourn - solid, but not stellar
After 19 games, Michael Bourn has 11 steals, meaning he is on pace to steal 94 bases. Not bad, although not overly comforting considering Bourn's meager. 211 average. If he doesn't get his average up in the .240-.250 range, there will be no shot of him seeing enough ABs to make a serious run at 100 steals.
A few quick notes:
- Vince Coleman, the last guy to steal 100 bases, had 16 steals after 19 games in 1987. That put him on pace for 136, and he eventually wound up with 109.
- While Bourn has been disappointing at the plate thus far, resident bold predictor Tim Ott has been a bigger disappointment. His initial prediction that Brandon Lyon would save 50 games was a disaster, so we let him switch. Ott then forecasted that Kosuke Fukudome would win the MVP, a prediction that isn't fun to follow on a daily basis. So Alex, Dean and I decided to allow Ott to make a second switch and revert back to his initial backup prediction that Ryan Howard would strike out 240 times this season.
A few quick notes:
- Vince Coleman, the last guy to steal 100 bases, had 16 steals after 19 games in 1987. That put him on pace for 136, and he eventually wound up with 109.
- While Bourn has been disappointing at the plate thus far, resident bold predictor Tim Ott has been a bigger disappointment. His initial prediction that Brandon Lyon would save 50 games was a disaster, so we let him switch. Ott then forecasted that Kosuke Fukudome would win the MVP, a prediction that isn't fun to follow on a daily basis. So Alex, Dean and I decided to allow Ott to make a second switch and revert back to his initial backup prediction that Ryan Howard would strike out 240 times this season.

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